Author: Harbourfront Technologies

Using Hurst Exponent to Time the Market

The Hurst exponent is a statistical measure used to evaluate the long-term memory or autocorrelation of a time series, indicating whether a system exhibits trending behavior, mean-reverting characteristics, or randomness. A Hurst exponent greater than 0.5 signifies the existence of long-range dependence, implying that previous trends are prone to persisting …

Predicting Intraday and Daily Volumes Using ARIMA Model

Volume is an essential, integral market data. However, it receives much less attention in research literature compared to price data. Understanding and being able to model volume dynamics is important because buy-side firms must plan and time their trades to avoid significantly impacting the market, revealing their identities, and incurring …

Improving Pairs Trading Profitability

Pairs trading is a market-neutral strategy that involves taking long and short positions in two correlated assets to profit from their relative price movements. However, the profitability of pairs trading has been diminishing due to, in part, its growing popularity. Reference examined the profitability of pairs trading in the …

Quantile-on-Quantile Spillover Analysis of International Stock Markets

The relationship between two assets can be examined using various techniques such as correlation, lagged correlation, cointegration etc. Reference presented a new method called Quantile-on-Quantile Spillover Analysis to examine the relationship between two assets. This approach involves estimating Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR) models across different quantiles and then calculating …

Sector Pairs Trading Using Returns as Selection Criteria

Pairs trading is a market-neutral strategy that involves simultaneously buying and selling two correlated assets to exploit their price discrepancies. The strategy aims to profit from the relative movements between the two assets, regardless of the overall market direction. Pairs trading requires careful selection of pairs and constant monitoring to …

Using Gold Futures to Hedge Equity Portfolios

Hedging is a risk management strategy used to offset potential losses in one investment by taking an opposing position in a related asset. By using financial instruments such as options, futures, or other derivatives, investors can protect their portfolios from adverse price movements. The primary goal of hedging is not …