Forecasting Credit Indices: Which Models Are Stable?

Credit indices are financial instruments used to gauge the overall creditworthiness and risk of a particular market or sector. These indices provide investors with a snapshot of credit risk within a specific market, allowing them to assess the health and stability of that market. There are two prevalent categories of …

What Influences Stock-Bond Correlation?

The correlation between stocks and bonds plays a crucial role in portfolio allocation and diversification strategies. This correlation measures the degree to which the returns of these two asset classes move in relation to each other. When stocks and bonds exhibit a negative correlation, it implies that they tend to …

Can Big Data and AI Replace Human Fund Managers?

The integration of alternative data in finance has ushered in a transformative era, where traditional financial analysis is augmented by vast and unconventional datasets. These alternative data sources encompass a myriad of information, from satellite imagery tracking global supply chains to sentiment analysis of social media chatter. By leveraging big …

Technical Trading in the US Equity Index Market

Technical trading is a method of evaluating and making trading decisions based on the historical price and volume patterns of a security or financial instrument. It operates on the premise that past price movements and trading activity can provide insights into future market behavior. Practitioners of technical trading use a …

How Generative AI Will Change the Online Labor Market

ChatGPT is an advanced AI language model developed by OpenAI, designed for natural language processing tasks and human-like text-based conversations. It’s powered by the GPT-3.5 architecture, known for its ability to understand and generate human-like text across a wide range of topics. ChatGPT has applications in chatbots, virtual assistants, content …

Using Multivariate Functional False Discovery Rate for Testing System Robustness

Data snooping bias is a prevalent challenge in finance, stemming from the extensive exploration of historical financial data to uncover trading strategies and patterns. It occurs when researchers or traders test numerous hypotheses and strategies on historical data until they discover one that appears profitable purely by chance. This process, …