Category: DERIVATIVES

Understanding P&L in Risk Reversal Strategies

Option P&L attribution is an important component of portfolio and risk management. We have previously discussed related topics, including how option P&L is path-dependent. Reference examines P&L attribution and, specifically, the sources of P&L in a risk-reversal position, a structure commonly used to express a view on volatility skew. …

Path Dependence in Option P&L

The P&L attribution of an option portfolio is highly important, as it aids in portfolio and risk management. Most often, the daily P&L of an option is broken down into four components: theta, delta, gamma, and vega. This decomposition works well in most cases, especially when the market moves orderly, …

Impact of Spot-Volatility Correlation on Option Returns

It is well known that equity indices tend to exhibit a negative correlation with their volatility. There is some research on this relationship, often linking it to the leverage effect. Recently, we observed that the equity market has been behaving unusually, with the spot-volatility correlation turning positive. It is therefore …

Do Short-Dated Options Lead the Underlying Market?

Options volume has increased dramatically in recent years, particularly in very short-dated options (0DTE and 1DTE). One theory suggests that information extracted from option trading activity can predict future stock returns. Along these lines, Reference examines whether short-dated option prices lead stock prices. It analyzes 2025 data covering 30 …

Closed-Form Option Pricing Under the Physical Measure

The Black–Scholes–Merton (BSM) model is one of the most celebrated option pricing models and remains widely used by academics and practitioners alike. At its core, it states that the value of an option equals the cost of replicating its payoff through continuous dynamic hedging. In practice, however, continuous rebalancing is …

Does Gamma P&L Really Measure Convexity?

Decomposing option P&L into individual Greek contributions is a useful practice. The decomposition is typically derived from a Taylor expansion and serves both risk-management and research purposes. For example, some studies use gamma P&L as a measure of convexity and as a tool for analyzing the variance risk premium. Reference …

Gamma Exposure and S&P500 Return Predictability

Options trading volume has been increasing rapidly, potentially altering market dynamics. Reference examines whether aggregate gamma exposure (GEX) in the S&P500 index options market contains predictive information about future equity returns and whether it can enhance short-term forecasting models. To do so, the authors construct an Autoregressive Distributed Lag …