Category: TRADING

Quantifying Recency Bias in Investor Volatility Expectations

Investors and traders often suffer from behavioral biases, which is where behavioral finance originates. Among these biases, recency bias is probably the most detrimental, yet it has infrequently been studied in a comprehensive quantitative manner. Reference addresses this gap by investigating recency bias in stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility …

Toward Rigorous Validation of Data-Driven Trading Strategies

With the rapid advancement in computing power, quantitative researchers can now develop trading strategies quickly, employing multiple variables and methodologies. These approaches extend beyond traditional time-series and statistical models to include machine learning and AI-based techniques. However, such models often deliver impressive in-sample results but fail in live trading, largely …

Enhancing the Wheel Strategy with Bayesian Networks

The option wheel strategy is a systematic approach that combines selling cash-secured puts and covered calls. The process begins by selling puts on a stock the investor is willing to own; if assigned, the investor acquires the shares and then sells covered calls against the position to collect additional premium. …

A Recent Review of Pairs Trading and Statistical Arbitrage

Pairs trading, or statistical arbitrage, is one of the oldest quantitative trading strategies, and it is still employed today. Over the years, it has expanded from classical distance methods to more sophisticated approaches, and practitioners have increasingly questioned its profitability. Reference provides a thorough review of the pairs trading …

Review of Momentum and Contrarian Approaches in Global Stock Markets

Momentum and mean-reverting approaches are two primary methods for trading linear (delta-one) assets. Their effectiveness depends on several factors, such as time horizon, investor behavior, liquidity, etc. Reference conducted a comprehensive literature review of momentum and mean-reverting approaches. It aims to answer two questions: How have momentum and contrarian …

Profitability of ETF Pairs Trading

Pairs trading is a market-neutral strategy that exploits temporary deviations in the price relationship between two historically correlated or cointegrated assets by going long the undervalued asset and short the overvalued asset, aiming to profit from spread mean reversion. There is an emerging study in the literature that highlights the …