Category: TRADING

Options Trading Using Econometric Models

In the financial world, time series analysis is frequently used to predict stock prices, interest rates, and currency exchange rates. Econometric models are a type of time series analysis that uses historical data to forecast future asset prices and volatilities. Reference applied the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model …

Profitability of a Dispersion Trading Strategy

Dispersion trading is an investment strategy that is used to capitalize on the discrepancies in volatilities between an index and its constituents. The strategy involves buying or selling the index options and simultaneously buying or selling the constituent stocks’ options. This results in a long/short volatility portfolio. Reference provided …

Technical Indicators in Momentum Trading

Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on historic price, volume, or open interest information that aim to forecast future market behavior. In general, technical analysis focuses on trends and patterns in the price of an underlying instrument such as a stock or commodity. We recently discussed a paper that studied …

Technical Trading During The Pandemic

Many investors use fundamental or technical analysis when making investment decisions, with many only using technical analysis when picking their trades. Many traders use technical indicators to spot potential trading opportunities. Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on the price, volume, or open interest of an underlying asset. They fall …

Statistical Arbitrage Using a Jump-Diffusion Model

Statistical arbitrage is a classic quantitative trading strategy that attempts to take advantage of statistical differences in the prices of assets. The strategy is based on the idea that if two assets are not perfectly correlated, then there is an opportunity to profit from the difference in their prices. Statistical …

Where Do Options Returns Come From

Short volatility is a popular trading strategy that seeks to profit from selling volatility through Exchange Trade Notes or listed options. It is understood that the profit comes from the volatility risk premium, i.e. the fact that implied volatility generally overstates actual volatility. Some investors even consider this overstatement a …

Butterfly Spreads for Harvesting Risk Premia

We have discussed trading strategies for harvesting volatility risk premium. In a similar context, Reference examined the use of butterfly option positions as a trading strategy for long-term investors. An option butterfly position is a limited risk, non-directional options trading strategy that is designed to take advantage of a …