Author: Harbourfront Technologies

Selection Bias: How It Affects Our Lives

Human psychological bias affects us in many different ways. We have recently discussed how recency bias influences our trading. In this post, we’re going to talk about selection bias. Selection bias occurs when a statistical sample is not representative of the entire population. This situation arises, for example, when a …

Could There Be a Bitcoin Crash Next Year?

Could There Be a #Bitcoin Crash Next Year?#BTC #SPYhttps://t.co/tU4VpwLJKV — Harbourfront Technologies (@DerivValuation) December 28, 2021 2021 was a meteoric year for crypto, with bitcoin looking to end the year almost 70% up from its January starting value, the first big crypto company (Coinbase) going public in April, and the …

How Interest Rates Will Affect Stock Markets

The stock markets are unlikely to continue their bull run of the past year in 2022 with investors eying other opportunities as interest rates rise, according to Wharton finance professor Itay Goldstein. Federal Reserve officials last week projected at least three quarter-percentage-point rate increases next year, signaling their concern over …

5x Leveraged Exchange Traded Fund

A leveraged exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a financial instrument that offers the return of an underlying index multiplied by a given leverage factor. The fund usually uses borrowed money, futures, swaps, and other derivatives to amplify the daily price movements of the underlying index. Investing in these exchange-traded funds involves …

Bank of Canada’s working group recommends ending CDOR in mid-2024

Publication of the Canadian dollar offered rate (CDOR), Canada’s primary interest rate benchmark, should end after June 2024, the working group helping to transition Canadian financial markets to risk-free benchmark interest rates said on Thursday. The Canadian Alternative Reference Rate working group (CARR) recommends that Refinitiv Benchmark Services (UK) Limited …

Recency Bias: How It Affects Your Trading

Trading is a difficult endeavor, and the main reason most traders fail is that they don’t have an edge. The expectation value of most trading strategies is zero before commissions and slippage. Taking commissions and slippage into account, trading is a negative-sum game. Even with a positive expectancy trading system, …

How Rising Inflation Affects Your Investments

Inflation is an important indicator of an economy’s health, as it indicates how the costs of goods and services are rising. While consumers often look at the prices of individual products as a gauge of their affordability, they have a broader need for a wide range of commodities. These include …

Cross-Sectional Momentum in the Commodity Market

Momentum trading is often divided into 2 categories: time-series momentum and cross-sectional momentum. Time-series based trading strategies generate trading signals based on the asset’s past returns. A typical time-series trading strategy usually involves buying assets with positive trend signals and selling those with negative trend signals. In contrast, cross-sectional trading …