Author: Harbourfront Technologies

Can Trading Volume Predict Realized Volatility?

Realized volatility (RV) is a measure that captures the degree of price fluctuation in a financial instrument over a specific period. This metric is valuable for investors and traders as it reflects the true price action experienced by an asset, aiding in risk assessment and strategy development. Realized volatility contrasts …

Can Dividend Yield Predict Stock Returns?

Dividend yield is a financial metric that provides insight into the income generated by an investment in the form of dividends, relative to its market price. Expressed as a percentage, the dividend yield is calculated by dividing the annual dividend per share by the current market price per share. This …

Profitability of Dispersion Trading in a Less Liquid Market

Dispersion trading is an options trading strategy that capitalizes on the spread or difference in implied volatility between index options and individual stock options. The basic premise involves selling index options while simultaneously buying options on individual components of the index. Traders expect that the implied volatility of individual stocks …

Covariance Risk Premium as a Predictor of Market Returns

Various prediction methods are employed in the stock market, leveraging diverse techniques and data sources. Fundamental analysis delves into a company’s financial health, examining factors like earnings, assets, and management. Machine learning and artificial intelligence have gained prominence recently, using algorithms to analyze vast datasets and identify patterns elusive to …

Does Kelly Portfolio Outperform the Market?

Position sizing is a critical element in effective portfolio management, playing a pivotal role in determining the overall risk and return characteristics of an investment portfolio. Proper position sizing involves allocating an appropriate proportion of capital to each investment, considering factors such as the investor’s risk tolerance, investment goals, and …