Category: TRADING

Recency Bias: How It Affects Your Trading

Trading is a difficult endeavor, and the main reason most traders fail is that they don’t have an edge. The expectation value of most trading strategies is zero before commissions and slippage. Taking commissions and slippage into account, trading is a negative-sum game. Even with a positive expectancy trading system, …

Cross-Sectional Momentum in the Commodity Market

Momentum trading is often divided into 2 categories: time-series momentum and cross-sectional momentum. Time-series based trading strategies generate trading signals based on the asset’s past returns. A typical time-series trading strategy usually involves buying assets with positive trend signals and selling those with negative trend signals. In contrast, cross-sectional trading …

Does Intraday Momentum Exist in the Crude Oil Market

Day trading is a popular discussion topic in the practitioners’ literature, the blogosphere, and social media. It receives,  however, less attention in the academic community. We have previously discussed a paper on the intraday momentum in the stock indices. Reference extended the research to the oil market. It used …

Tail Risk Hedging Strategies: Are They Effective?

Portfolio hedging is a risk-management practice that uses a number of strategies to mitigate the risks of any given portfolio. Tail risk hedging in particular is one of the techniques used in equity portfolio management. It basically involves buying put options in a certain amount to partially or fully protect …

Using the Hurst Exponent and Stock Comovements for Pairs Trading

Pairs trading, or statistical arbitrage, is an effective market-neutral trading strategy. Usually fundamental or quantitative analysis is used in order to determine which pairs are suitable for trading. We have previously discussed several pairs selection methods based on quantitative measures such as stock cointegration, correlation, pair distances, etc. Reference  …

How Options Imbalances Affect Price Dynamics

As discussed several times, markets can be loosely divided into two regimes: trending, and mean-reverting. The majority of trading literature has been devoted to exploiting these market characteristics. Less attention, however, is paid to the explanation of their existence. They are often attributed to investors’ over-, underreaction and/or market inefficiencies. …