Despite the growing popularity of passive investing, active hedge fund managers are still adding value to their investors’ portfolios. While passively managed funds can be a great option for some investors, active management can provide added benefits for those who are looking for better risk-adjusted returns and diversification, especially during …

The unpredictability of the markets is a well-known fact. Despite this, many traders and portfolio managers continue to try to predict market volatility and manage their risks accordingly. Usually, econometric models such as GARCH are used to forecast market volatility. In recent years, machine learning has been shown to be …

Most of the research in equity and index options has been devoted to volatility and the volatility risk premium. Relatively less attention is paid to options volume. To tackle this issue, article examined options volume from the perspective of in-the-money options order imbalance. It showed that the public directional …

A trading system is a set of rules that a trader uses to make buy and sell decisions. It’s commonly believed that a profitable trading system should be simple, with few parameters, so that it can be easily understood and followed. It is also important for the system to be …

Ed Thorp is a pioneer in the world of quantitative trading. He was one of the first people to use mathematics and statistics to develop trading systems and strategies. His work has been instrumental in developing the field of quantitative finance, and he is widely regarded as one of the …

In a previous post, we discussed how the dynamics of assets are priced in the options prices. We recently came across a newly published article that explored the same topic but from a different perspective that does not involve options. The conclusion of the new article is consistent with …

Human psychological bias affects us in many different ways. We have recently discussed how recency bias influences our trading. In this post, we’re going to talk about selection bias. Selection bias occurs when a statistical sample is not representative of the entire population. This situation arises, for example, when a …

Analyzing intermarket relationships between assets can help identify trends and predict returns. Traditionally, analysts use commodity, currency, and interest-rate data to predict the direction of the stock market. In this regard, reference brings a fresh new perspective. It utilized price ratios of gold over other assets in order to …

Trading is a difficult endeavor, and the main reason most traders fail is that they don’t have an edge. The expectation value of most trading strategies is zero before commissions and slippage. Taking commissions and slippage into account, trading is a negative-sum game. Even with a positive expectancy trading system, …

Momentum trading is often divided into 2 categories: time-series momentum and cross-sectional momentum. Time-series based trading strategies generate trading signals based on the asset’s past returns. A typical time-series trading strategy usually involves buying assets with positive trend signals and selling those with negative trend signals. In contrast, cross-sectional trading …