Author: Harbourfront Technologies

Forecasting Short-Term Stock-Bond Correlation

Stock-bond correlation is a critical factor in portfolio diversification, influencing how different asset classes interact during market movements. The correlation between stocks and bonds helps investors understand the degree to which these two assets move in relation to each other. In the years of 2010s, stocks and bonds have had …

The Weekend Effect in The Market Indices

The weekend (or Monday) effect in the stock market refers to the phenomenon where stock returns exhibit different patterns on Mondays compared to the rest of the week. Historically, there has been a tendency for stock prices to be lower on Mondays. Various theories attempt to explain the weekend effect, …

Can Trading Volume Predict Realized Volatility?

Realized volatility (RV) is a measure that captures the degree of price fluctuation in a financial instrument over a specific period. This metric is valuable for investors and traders as it reflects the true price action experienced by an asset, aiding in risk assessment and strategy development. Realized volatility contrasts …

Can Dividend Yield Predict Stock Returns?

Dividend yield is a financial metric that provides insight into the income generated by an investment in the form of dividends, relative to its market price. Expressed as a percentage, the dividend yield is calculated by dividing the annual dividend per share by the current market price per share. This …

Profitability of Dispersion Trading in a Less Liquid Market

Dispersion trading is an options trading strategy that capitalizes on the spread or difference in implied volatility between index options and individual stock options. The basic premise involves selling index options while simultaneously buying options on individual components of the index. Traders expect that the implied volatility of individual stocks …

Covariance Risk Premium as a Predictor of Market Returns

Various prediction methods are employed in the stock market, leveraging diverse techniques and data sources. Fundamental analysis delves into a company’s financial health, examining factors like earnings, assets, and management. Machine learning and artificial intelligence have gained prominence recently, using algorithms to analyze vast datasets and identify patterns elusive to …