Category: RISK MANAGEMENT

Forecasting Short-Term Stock-Bond Correlation

Stock-bond correlation is a critical factor in portfolio diversification, influencing how different asset classes interact during market movements. The correlation between stocks and bonds helps investors understand the degree to which these two assets move in relation to each other. In the years of 2010s, stocks and bonds have had …

Can Trading Volume Predict Realized Volatility?

Realized volatility (RV) is a measure that captures the degree of price fluctuation in a financial instrument over a specific period. This metric is valuable for investors and traders as it reflects the true price action experienced by an asset, aiding in risk assessment and strategy development. Realized volatility contrasts …

Does Kelly Portfolio Outperform the Market?

Position sizing is a critical element in effective portfolio management, playing a pivotal role in determining the overall risk and return characteristics of an investment portfolio. Proper position sizing involves allocating an appropriate proportion of capital to each investment, considering factors such as the investor’s risk tolerance, investment goals, and …

Improved Martingale Betting System- Does It Work?

The martingale betting system is a popular gambling strategy that involves doubling one’s wager after each loss in the pursuit of recovering previous losses and securing a profit equal to the original bet. The underlying idea is that, statistically, a win will eventually occur, allowing the player to recoup losses …

Forecasting Credit Indices: Which Models Are Stable?

Credit indices are financial instruments used to gauge the overall creditworthiness and risk of a particular market or sector. These indices provide investors with a snapshot of credit risk within a specific market, allowing them to assess the health and stability of that market. There are two prevalent categories of …

What Influences Stock-Bond Correlation?

The correlation between stocks and bonds plays a crucial role in portfolio allocation and diversification strategies. This correlation measures the degree to which the returns of these two asset classes move in relation to each other. When stocks and bonds exhibit a negative correlation, it implies that they tend to …