An Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is a fund that tracks an index, sector, or basket of assets just like a traditional mutual fund, but trades like a stock on an exchange. ETFs experience price changes throughout the day as they are bought and sold. The ETF market has experienced massive …

Alternative data is becoming increasingly popular in the financial world. While some traditional data sources such as earnings and economic indicators are still relied upon heavily, alternative data is providing new insights that can help investors make better-informed decisions. There are a variety of sources for alternative data, including social …

In a previous post, we discussed the lead-lag relationship between the volatility index, VIX, and SPX futures. In this post, we are going to look at the relationship between the VIX index and VIX futures. The volatility index, VIX, is a measure of the stock market’s expectation of volatility over …

Interest rates are a determinant factor in the pricing mechanism of public markets.  When interest rates go up, the cost of borrowing increases, and this affects economic activity and company profits. Equity markets are sensitive to changes in interest rates because they affect corporate profitability and the cost of capital. …

The recent market correction has shown, once again, that the financial markets are strongly interconnected. The sell-off in stocks has led to a sharp increase in the credit spreads. The rally in oil price has helped commodity currencies such as the Canadian dollar and Australian dollar appreciate against the US …

It’s commonly believed that Gold is a good diversifying asset, and for many years, this was true. Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, which means that investors turn to it when they are worried about the stock market. However, Gold has not always been a good investment. In …

Financial risk management is the process of identifying, measuring, and managing financial risks. There are many different types of financial risks, including interest rate risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, market risk, and operational risk. Machine learning and artificial intelligence can be used to identify and measure these risks, as well …

The unpredictability of the markets is a well-known fact. Despite this, many traders and portfolio managers continue to try to predict market volatility and manage their risks accordingly. Usually, econometric models such as GARCH are used to forecast market volatility. In recent years, machine learning has been shown to be …

We have discussed how the volatility index, VIX, and the yield curve can be used to predict recessions. On a similar topic, a recent paper argued that machine learning models are outperforming logistic regression when it comes to predicting financial crises. It explored the reasons behind this and showed …

The yield curve is a graphical representation of the relationship between the yields of bonds with different maturities. The yield curve has been inverted before every recession in the United States since 1971, so it is often used as a predictor of recessions. Indeed, the spread between the long-term and …